Back to Theaters in a Year After Vaccine?

Back to Theaters in a Year After Vaccine?

Call me doubtful when I read this headline on Fox Business today, “Fauci:  Americans can go back to theaters when a vaccine has existed for almost a year.”

Dr. Fauci told the actress Jennifer Garner during an Instagram Live broadcast on Wednesday September 7th that Americans can go back to theaters when a vaccine has existed for almost a year.

He added, IF the U.S. gets a “knock-out vaccine 85% to 90% effective,” and “just about everybody gets vaccinated,” society will have “a degree of immunity” that allows the general public to “walk into a theater without masks and feel like it’s comfortable.”

Irrational Optimism Surrounds Covid Vaccine

Let’s have a reality check please on our success fighting viral flu each year.

From the CDC website: “Every year in the United States, millions of people are sickened, hundreds of thousands are hospitalized and thousands or tens of thousands of people die from the flu.”

In February, the CDC announced this year’s flu vaccine has been “50% effective against influenza B/Victoria viruses. “

Only 37% effective against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09.”

Scientists have a very high degree of success with vaccines that have been developed and fine-tuned over the last 50-60 years. Vaccines work for measles, mumps, diphtheria, whooping cough, smallpox, polio, tetanus, and pertussis, rubella, and hepatitis B. Vaccines save millions of lives, but…

  1. In our opinion, it’s highly unlikely to find a Coronavirus vaccine in the early candidates that are 85% to 90% effective.
  2. The CDC has said it will approve vaccines safe and 50% effective.
  3. “Just about everybody” getting a vaccine shot is an unreachable goal for 331 million Americans.

Summarizing What I Read

If Americans lived in a vacuum, totally isolated from the other 7.2 billion people in the world— and the first vaccines are 85% to 90% effective— and “just about everybody” got a vaccine shot… the Covid 19 pandemic would let us feel comfortable going to a movie theater without a mask— in about a year.

Slowdown, we all need to be patient and stay safe while we wait. It will take time to rollout the best vaccines, test their safety and effectiveness on the masses, rev-up production, distribute vials, and lineup 331 Americans to take shots.

What’s more, we still won’t know if we really need two or three shots or how long the immunization will last. Be prepared for a long wait.

Business Insider in a September 12 survey release says 62% of Americans are worried that ‘political pressure’ from the Trump administration will rush a coronavirus vaccine.”

Optimism in the face on adversity is great. Optimism that puts your family’s health and financial well-being at risk is unacceptable and downright deadly. Pandemics take time to resolve, let’s not lose confidence along the way.

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